Source Themes

The Need for a Tweet - Foreigner Criminality in Police Press Releases and Hate Speech on Social Media

Draft coming soon - This study investigates the role of police communication in shaping public discourse on social media in the context of immigration, crime, and political populism. We compile a unique dataset of more than 1.5 million press releases …

Right and yet wrong: a politico-economic perspective on Germany’s early COVID-19 policy

Applying a spatio-temporal endemic–epidemic forecasting model, we evaluate different perspectives on the adequacy of COVID-19 containment policies. Using Germany’s early containment policy as an example, we show that containment policies judged as …

From Stocks to Flows - Evidence for the Climate-Migration-Nexus

Slow onset climate change has the potential to cause significant migration flows. Scientists have recently made considerable efforts to quantify these flows based on empirical methods. However, the literature on international migration has failed to …

Do Natural Disasters Affect Household Saving? Evidence From the August 2002 Flood in Germany

Recently, there is a growing interest in understanding the effects of life experiences on financial decision making. An underexplored question is whether and how natural disasters affect household saving behavior. For this purpose, we exploit a …

Bayesian Compression for Mixed Frequency Vector Autoregressions: A Forecast Study for Germany

Up until now, the concept of compression in single-or multivariate regressions has been limited to the common-frequency case. Having an application of macroeconomic forecasting in mind, one inevitably has to deal with variables sampled at various …